Tyler Herro

6'5"205 lb

Born 2000-01-20 (Age: 26)Pre-NBA: Kentucky

2019Rd 1Pk 13MIA

All Star

Per game average

Season	PPG	APG	RPG	TS%
2025-26	20.5	4.1	4.8	60.2%
2024-25	23.9	5.5	5.2	60.5%
2023-24	20.8	4.5	5.3	55.8%
2022-23	20.1	4.2	5.4	56.6%
2021-22	20.7	4.0	5.0

Upcoming games

Scores

2026-27 · MIA

Drafted by the Heat with the 13th pick in 2019. How they got him

2025-26 percentile ranking

19-2025-26

Loading percentile ranking…

Overview Sentiment Game Logs Career Splits Shooting Advanced On/Off Game Highs

Season stats

Career trend + season grid. Click a season to open that year’s game log.

Season	Tm	G	PTS	AST	TRB	MP	ORB	DRB	TOV	PF
2025-26	MIA	33	20.5	4.1	4.8	31.3	0.4	4.4	1.9	1.9
2024-25	MIA	77	23.9	5.5	5.2	35.4	0.5	4.7	2.6	1.1
2023-24	MIA	42	20.8	4.5	5.3	33.5	0.5	4.8	2.2	1.5
2022-23	MIA	67	20.1	4.2	5.4	34.9	0.4	5.0	2.4	1.5
2021-22	MIA	66	20.7	4.0	5.0	32.6	0.5	4.5	2.6	1.4
2020-21	MIA	54	15.1	3.4	5.0	30.3	0.5	4.5	1.9	1.3
2019-20	MIA	55	13.5	2.2	4.1	27.4	0.3	3.8	1.6	1.4

Showing regular season · 8 columns. Switch category or scroll sideways for more.

Loading career…

Loading statistics…

Contract

$33.0M over 2026-27 only · $33.0M guaranteed

Surplus rankings MIL payroll

Projected surplus

-$11.8M

80% range -$29.3M to +$4.8M

Estimated worth

$21.2M

Against $33.0M in salary

Among contracts

22nd percentile

By total surplus, of 406 we can estimate

Projected to be worth less than his salary this season.

Surplus

2026-27Paid $33.0M, worth about $21.2M (likely $3.7M to $37.8M)

Salary
Estimated worth
Likely range (80%)
Gain or loss

Season	Salary	Est. worth	80% range	Surplus	Notes
2026-27	$33.0M	$21.2M	$3.7M–$37.8M	-$11.8M	—

Worth is projected from his DRBL seasons 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26 (21,047 possessions). Surplus is worth minus salary, after options.

Traded from MIA to MIL July 6, 2026. Signed 4-yr/$120M contract extension October 2, 2022.

How this works

Worth is what his projected wins would cost on the open market. We count wins above a minimum-salary player in the same minutes and price them at what teams paid per WAR1 win from 2020-21 to 2025-26: 5.6% of the cap, about $9.2M in 2026-27.

Projections weight his last 3 seasons 3, 2 and 1, newest first, using each season's DRBL/100 turned into wins. They pull toward what players at his salary usually produce, then adjust for age. Playing time comes from recent minutes, age and salary, since teams play the players they pay. A season lost to injury still pulls the playing time down.

Surplus is worth minus salary. A team can always bench a player, so worth never drops below the minimum salary. A player option leaves the team only the downside, because he walks when he could earn more. A team option or a non-guaranteed year leaves only the upside.

To test it, we refit the model three times, each with only the seasons through 2022-23, 2023-24 or 2024-25, valued what players were actually paid afterward, and compared with what they did. The typical miss the next season was 1.31 wins, against 1.45 for assuming a player repeats his last season. Three seasons out it was 1.92 wins, against 2.40. 12% of players beat the top of the range. Fewer than 3% fell below the bottom, since worth can't drop under the minimum salary.

Cap figures after 2026-27 assume 5.8% growth a year, the recent average. The percentile compares total surplus across the 406 current contracts we can estimate.

Salary played off · 2026-27

The 2026-27 lines start after opening night, Oct 20. Every player begins at 0 and climbs as his play covers his salary. See how 2025-26 finished

Similar players

Closest 2025-26 profiles, historical lookalikes across eras, and nearest comps by metric. This is not a new rating. Switch chips to change the lens.

Closest profiles this season

Tyler Herro2025-26
0 gapCompare
Why AST% 0 · DRBL D 0 · DRBL O 0
Ayo Dosunmu2025-26
10 gapCompare
Why USG -21 · TS +17 · DRBL D +17
Desmond Bane2025-26
11 gapCompare
Why WAR1 +27 · DRBL D +24 · TRB% -14
Kevin Durant2025-26
11 gapCompare
Why WAR1 +35 · TS +21 · USG +8

Closest profiles historically

Trey Murphy III2024-25
6 gapCompare
Why WAR1 +12 · AST% -11 · DRBL D -9
Bradley Beal2023-24
7 gapCompare
Why DRBL O -23 · USG -9 · AST% +6
Reggie Miller1996-97
9 gapCompare
Why TRB% -25 · AST% -6 · USG +2

Profile distance is the average percentile gap across impact, true shooting, usage, assist rate, rebound rate, and DRBL O/D when present. Lower gap is closer. Other chips are nearest on that one stat. Open full player compare

Loading similar players…

Ask DRBL about Tyler Herro

Prefills supported peak, rank, season-board, and compare queries only.

Season	Age	Tm	Pos	G	GS	Impact												Profile								Shooting														Defense								Hustle						Advanced
Season	Age	Tm	Pos	G	GS	DARKO	DARKO-O	DARKO-D	RAPTOR	O-RAPTOR	D-RAPTOR	WAR	WAR1	VORP	DRBL/100	DRBL-O	DRBL-D	MP	PTS	TRB	ORB	DRB	AST	TOV	PF	FG	FGA	FG%	3P	3PA	3P%	2P	2PA	2P%	FT	FTA	FT%	eFG%	TS%	STL	BLK	STL%	BLK%	DRB%	DRtg	DBPM	DWS	Defl	Contest	ScrAst	Chrg	Loose	BoxOut	3PAr	FTr	USG%	TOV%	AST%	ORB%	TRB%	AST/TO	ORtg	NET	PER	OWS	WS	WS/48	OBPM	BPM
2025-26	26	MIA	SG	33	28	1.78	2.48	-0.70	-	-	-	-	0.4	1.1	0.3	3.1	-1.3	31.3	20.5	4.8	0.4	4.4	4.1	1.9	1.9	7.5	15.6	48.0%	2.5	6.7	37.8%	5.0	8.9	55.6%	3.0	3.3	91.7%	56.1%	60.2%	0.7	0.4	1.0%	1.0%	14.6%	117.0	-0.4	1.0	1.3	3.3	0.1	-	0.5	0.1	43.1%	0.210	24.7%	10.2%	19.7%	1.4%	7.9%	2.16	117.0	0.0	17.1	1.4	2.4	0.112	2.4	2.0
2024-25	25	MIA	SG	77	77	0.45	1.05	-0.60	-	-	-	-	2.4	3.5	0.8	2.5	-1.2	35.4	23.9	5.2	0.5	4.7	5.5	2.6	1.1	8.5	17.9	47.2%	3.3	8.7	37.5%	5.2	9.2	56.5%	3.7	4.2	87.8%	56.3%	60.5%	0.9	0.2	1.3%	0.6%	14.6%	115.0	-0.7	2.7	1.6	3.4	0.3	-	0.7	0.4	48.6%	0.237	28.0%	11.5%	26.2%	1.4%	8.1%	2.12	117.0	2.0	19.7	4.7	7.4	0.131	3.8	3.1
2023-24	24	MIA	SG	42	40	0.05	1.09	-1.04	-	-	-	-	-0.5	1.0	-0.3	0.5	-0.8	33.5	20.8	5.3	0.5	4.8	4.5	2.2	1.5	7.7	17.5	44.1%	3.1	7.9	39.6%	4.6	9.6	47.8%	2.3	2.6	85.6%	53.1%	55.8%	0.7	0.1	1.1%	0.2%	16.5%	114.0	-0.7	1.6	1.2	3.7	0.3	-	0.7	0.2	45.3%	0.151	27.8%	10.6%	22.4%	1.5%	8.9%	2.05	108.0	-6.0	15.7	0.4	2.0	0.068	1.5	0.8
2022-23	23	MIA	SG	67	67	-0.73	0.50	-1.23	-	-	-	-	-0.1	1.6	-0.0	0.6	-0.9	34.9	20.1	5.4	0.4	5.0	4.2	2.4	1.5	7.3	16.6	43.9%	3.0	8.0	37.8%	4.3	8.6	49.7%	2.5	2.7	93.4%	53.1%	56.6%	0.8	0.2	1.1%	0.7%	17.3%	115.0	-0.8	2.4	1.3	4.6	0.3	-	0.5	0.2	48.4%	0.164	25.6%	11.7%	19.9%	1.3%	9.0%	1.75	109.0	-6.0	15.3	1.1	3.5	0.072	1.5	0.6
2021-22	22	MIA	SG	66	10	-1.31	-0.27	-1.04	0.09	1.35	-1.26	3.61	-0.4	1.5	-0.2	0.4	-0.4	32.6	20.7	5.0	0.5	4.5	4.0	2.6	1.4	7.6	17.0	44.7%	2.7	6.7	39.9%	4.9	10.3	47.7%	2.9	3.3	86.8%	52.5%	56.1%	0.7	0.1	1.0%	0.4%	15.4%	111.0	-0.9	2.4	1.2	4.6	0.2	0.0	0.9	0.4	39.1%	0.195	28.8%	12.5%	20.9%	1.7%	8.7%	1.54	107.0	-4.0	16.2	1.3	3.8	0.084	1.6	0.7
2020-21	21	MIA	SG	54	15	-1.25	0.30	-1.55	-1.01	-0.01	-1.00	1.53	-1.5	0.3	-0.8	-0.6	-0.9	30.3	15.1	5.0	0.5	4.5	3.4	1.9	1.3	5.7	12.9	43.9%	2.0	5.5	36.0%	3.7	7.4	49.8%	1.7	2.2	80.3%	51.6%	54.3%	0.6	0.3	1.1%	1.1%	16.7%	113.0	-1.0	1.6	1.1	5.4	0.5	-	0.6	0.4	42.5%	0.167	23.5%	11.9%	18.0%	1.8%	9.4%	1.79	104.0	-9.0	13.3	0.1	1.7	0.049	-0.3	-1.3
2019-20	20	MIA	SG	55	8	-2.33	-1.90	-0.43	-1.51	-0.27	-1.24	1.43	-	0.1	-	-	-	27.4	13.5	4.1	0.3	3.8	2.2	1.6	1.4	4.9	11.5	42.8%	2.1	5.4	38.9%	2.8	6.1	46.2%	1.6	1.8	87.0%	52.0%	55.0%	0.6	0.2	1.1%	0.6%	14.9%	112.0	-1.2	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	47.2%	0.158	22.3%	11.4%	12.7%	1.2%	8.3%	1.38	103.0	-9.0	12.5	0.2	1.6	0.050	-0.4	-1.6

Tyler Herro

2025-26 percentile ranking

Tyler Herro · 2025-26 percentiles

Overview

Impact

Profile

Shooting

Defense

Hustle

Advanced

Season stats

Contract

Salary played off · 2026-27

Similar players

Ask DRBL about Tyler Herro

Contract

Salary played off · 2026-27

Statistics

Similar players

Season stats

2025-26 percentile ranking

Tyler Herro · 2025-26 percentiles

Overview

Impact

Profile

Shooting

Defense

Hustle

Advanced