Larry Nance Jr.

6'6"245 lb

Born 1993-01-01 (Age: 24)Pre-NBA: Wyoming

2015Rd 1Pk 27LAL

Per game average

Season	PPG	APG	RPG	TS%
2026-27	-	-	-	-
2025-26	3.7	1.0	2.7	50.5%
2024-25	8.5	1.6	4.3	63.2%
2023-24	5.7	1.9	5.0	65.3%
2022-23	6.8	1.8	5.4	64.9%

Upcoming games

Scores

2026-27 · IND

Drafted by the Lakers with the 27th pick in 2015. How they got him

2016-17 percentile ranking

15-1625-26

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Overview Sentiment Game Logs Career Splits Shooting Advanced Game Highs

Season stats

Career trend + season grid. Click a season to open that year’s game log.

Season	Tm	G	PTS	AST	TRB	MP	ORB	DRB	TOV	PF
2025-26	CLE	35	3.7	1.0	2.7	12.8	0.8	1.8	0.6	1.6
2024-25	ATL	24	8.5	1.6	4.3	19.3	1.0	3.3	0.7	1.5
2023-24	NOP	61	5.7	1.9	5.0	19.9	1.5	3.5	0.8	1.6
2022-23	NOP	65	6.8	1.8	5.4	21.2	1.6	3.8	0.6	2.0
2021-22	POR/NOP	46	7.0	1.8	5.4	22.6	1.6	3.8	0.8	1.8
2020-21	CLE	35	9.3	3.1	6.7	31.2	1.5	5.2	1.6	2.1
2019-20	CLE	56	10.1	2.2	7.3	26.3	1.9	5.4	1.1	1.6
2018-19	CLE	67	9.4	3.2	8.2	26.8	2.5	5.7	1.4	2.9
2017-18	LAL/CLE	66	8.7	1.2	6.8	21.5	2.4	4.4	0.8	2.6
2016-17	LAL	63	7.1	1.5	5.9	22.9	1.9	4.0	0.9	2.4
2015-16	LAL	63	5.5	0.7	5.0	20.1	1.6	3.3	0.7	2.0

Showing regular season · 8 columns. Switch category or scroll sideways for more.

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Contract

$2.4M over 2026-27 only · $2.4M guaranteed

IND payroll

Projected surplus

+$2.0M

80% range -$1.2M to +$8.6M

Estimated worth

$4.4M

Against $2.4M in salary

Among contracts

39th percentile

By total surplus, of 407 we can estimate

Projected to be worth more than his salary this season.

Surplus

2026-27Paid $2.4M, worth about $4.4M (likely $1.3M to $11.1M)

Salary
Estimated worth
Likely range (80%)
Gain or loss

Season	Salary	Est. worth	80% range	Surplus	Notes
2026-27	$2.4M	$4.4M	$1.3M–$11.1M	+$2.0M	—

Worth is projected from DRBL wins over 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26 (8,888 possessions). Surplus is worth minus salary, after options.

Signed 1-yr minimum contract July 9, 2026.

How this works

Worth is what his projected DRBL wins would cost on the open market. We count wins above a minimum-salary player in the same minutes and price them at what teams paid per DRBL win from 2020-21 to 2025-26: 9.8% of the cap, about $16.2M in 2026-27.

Projections weight his last 3 seasons 3, 2 and 1, newest first, and pull toward what players at his salary usually produce, then adjust for age. Playing time comes from recent minutes, age and salary, since teams play the players they pay. A season lost to injury still pulls the playing time down.

Surplus is worth minus salary. A team can always bench a player, so worth never drops below the minimum salary. A player option leaves the team only the downside, because he walks when he could earn more. A team option or a non-guaranteed year leaves only the upside.

To test it, we refit the model three times, each with only the seasons through 2022-23, 2023-24 or 2024-25, valued what players were actually paid afterward, and compared with what they did. The typical miss the next season was 0.91 wins, against 1.09 for assuming a player repeats his last season. Three seasons out it was 1.18 wins, against 1.54. 12% of players beat the top of the range. Fewer than 2% fell below the bottom, since worth can't drop under the minimum salary.

Cap figures after 2026-27 assume 5.8% growth a year, the recent average. The percentile compares total surplus across the 407 current contracts we can estimate.

Similar players

Closest 2016-17 profiles, historical lookalikes across eras, and nearest comps by metric. This is not a new rating. Switch chips to change the lens.

Closest profiles this season

Gorgui Dieng2016-17
5 gapCompare
Why AST% -10 · TS -9 · DARKO +5
Thaddeus Young2016-17
11 gapCompare
Why USG +19 · TRB% -15 · AST% -11
Mike Muscala2016-17
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Why TRB% -18 · TS +17 · USG +10
Jared Dudley2016-17
12 gapCompare
Why TRB% -28 · DARKO +16 · AST% +10

Closest profiles historically

Al Horford2024-25
4 gapCompare
Why TRB% -9 · AST% +5 · TS -3
Taj Gibson2015-16
6 gapCompare
Why AST% -11 · TS -8 · USG +7
Jarred Vanderbilt2025-26
7 gapCompare
Why TS -18 · DARKO +6 · USG -5
Horace Grant1996-97
10 gapCompare
Why USG +18 · TS -16 · AST% +10

Profile distance is the average percentile gap across impact, true shooting, usage, assist rate, rebound rate, and DRBL O/D when present. Lower gap is closer. Other chips are nearest on that one stat. Open full player compare

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Ask DRBL about Larry Nance Jr.

Prefills supported peak, rank, season-board, and compare queries only.

Season	Age	Tm	Pos	G	GS	Impact												Profile								Shooting														Defense								Hustle						Advanced
Season	Age	Tm	Pos	G	GS	DARKO	DARKO-O	DARKO-D	RAPTOR	O-RAPTOR	D-RAPTOR	WAR	WAR1	VORP	DRBL/100	DRBL-O	DRBL-D	MP	PTS	TRB	ORB	DRB	AST	TOV	PF	FG	FGA	FG%	3P	3PA	3P%	2P	2PA	2P%	FT	FTA	FT%	eFG%	TS%	STL	BLK	STL%	BLK%	DRB%	DRtg	DBPM	DWS	Defl	Contest	ScrAst	Chrg	Loose	BoxOut	3PAr	FTr	USG%	TOV%	AST%	ORB%	TRB%	AST/TO	ORtg	NET	PER	OWS	WS	WS/48	OBPM	BPM
2025-26	33	CLE	PF	35	3	-0.63	-1.22	0.60	-	-	-	-	-0.3	-0.2	-0.3	-0.9	0.0	12.8	3.7	2.7	0.8	1.8	1.0	0.6	1.6	1.5	3.5	41.9%	0.6	1.8	33.3%	0.9	1.7	50.8%	0.2	0.4	46.2%	50.4%	50.5%	0.6	0.2	2.2%	1.3%	15.6%	114.0	0.5	0.5	1.5	1.5	0.7	0.1	0.2	0.4	50.8%	0.105	14.0%	13.4%	9.7%	7.1%	11.4%	1.67	107.0	-7.0	9.5	-	0.6	0.060	-3.9	-3.4
2024-25	32	ATL	PF	24	3	1.10	-0.65	1.75	-	-	-	-	0.5	0.4	0.5	2.1	-0.7	19.3	8.5	4.3	1.0	3.3	1.6	0.7	1.5	3.3	6.5	51.6%	1.4	3.2	44.7%	1.9	3.3	58.2%	0.4	0.5	69.2%	62.6%	63.2%	0.8	0.5	2.0%	2.6%	19.4%	114.0	0.7	0.5	2.1	3.5	1.2	0.3	0.4	1.4	49.0%	0.084	15.7%	9.1%	11.3%	5.3%	12.2%	2.29	125.0	11.0	16.0	0.8	1.3	0.131	1.1	1.8
2023-24	31	NOP	C	61	0	2.35	0.45	1.90	-	-	-	-	0.5	1.2	0.3	0.6	0.2	19.9	5.7	5.0	1.5	3.5	1.9	0.8	1.6	2.3	4.0	57.3%	0.4	1.1	41.5%	1.9	2.9	63.1%	0.8	1.0	77.0%	62.9%	65.3%	1.0	0.3	2.5%	1.5%	19.3%	111.0	2.2	1.9	1.8	3.0	2.1	0.2	0.4	1.8	27.0%	0.253	11.3%	15.5%	12.1%	8.7%	14.1%	2.37	131.0	20.0	14.9	2.1	4.1	0.160	-0.2	2.0
2022-23	30	NOP	C	65	1	1.14	-0.27	1.41	-	-	-	-	1.4	1.4	0.7	1.4	0.4	21.2	6.8	5.4	1.6	3.8	1.8	0.6	2.0	2.9	4.7	61.0%	0.2	0.6	33.3%	2.7	4.1	65.4%	0.8	1.2	69.6%	63.3%	64.9%	0.9	0.6	2.0%	2.6%	20.3%	110.0	2.0	2.1	1.9	3.9	2.5	0.2	0.5	1.9	13.8%	0.259	11.9%	11.0%	11.7%	8.7%	14.5%	3.00	134.0	24.0	16.0	2.8	4.9	0.171	-	2.0
2021-22	29	POR/NOP	PF	46	11	0.84	-0.42	1.25	-0.44	-0.08	-0.36	1.38	0.7	0.5	0.5	0.8	0.4	22.6	7.0	5.4	1.6	3.8	1.8	0.8	1.8	2.8	5.4	52.2%	0.5	1.5	32.9%	2.3	3.9	59.9%	0.9	1.2	70.2%	56.9%	59.0%	0.9	0.4	2.0%	1.9%	19.3%	112.0	0.3	0.8	2.0	4.4	2.1	0.2	0.4	1.1	28.3%	0.231	12.8%	12.0%	11.4%	7.4%	13.1%	2.25	117.0	5.0	14.4	1.5	2.3	0.104	-0.4	-0.1
2020-21	28	CLE	PF	35	27	1.32	0.45	0.88	0.52	-2.38	2.90	1.82	0.6	0.7	0.4	-0.7	1.6	31.2	9.3	6.7	1.5	5.2	3.1	1.6	2.1	3.7	7.8	47.1%	1.2	3.3	36.0%	2.5	4.5	55.1%	0.9	1.4	61.2%	54.6%	55.7%	1.7	0.5	2.8%	1.4%	19.0%	111.0	1.8	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	41.9%	0.180	13.9%	15.8%	14.4%	5.4%	12.1%	1.94	109.0	-2.0	13.2	0.5	1.8	0.080	-1.4	0.4
2019-20	27	CLE	PF	56	10	0.86	-0.13	0.99	1.16	0.06	1.10	2.92	-	1.4	-	-	-	26.3	10.1	7.3	1.9	5.4	2.2	1.1	1.6	4.1	7.7	53.1%	1.0	2.8	35.2%	3.1	4.9	63.6%	0.9	1.3	67.6%	59.6%	60.8%	1.0	0.4	1.9%	1.3%	23.1%	113.0	0.4	1.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	36.9%	0.172	15.2%	11.5%	12.3%	7.9%	15.4%	2.00	122.0	9.0	17.3	2.8	3.9	0.128	1.4	1.7
2018-19	26	CLE	C	67	30	1.91	0.25	1.65	2.23	0.00	2.23	4.54	-	2.0	-	-	-	26.8	9.4	8.2	2.5	5.7	3.2	1.4	2.9	3.7	7.1	52.0%	0.5	1.5	33.7%	3.2	5.6	56.7%	1.4	2.0	71.6%	55.4%	58.3%	1.5	0.6	2.8%	1.9%	24.9%	112.0	1.4	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	20.5%	0.280	15.5%	15.3%	17.8%	10.0%	17.1%	2.29	120.0	8.0	18.6	3.3	4.9	0.131	1.0	2.4
2017-18	25	LAL/CLE	C	66	26	0.62	-0.61	1.23	2.53	-0.22	2.75	4.70	-	1.6	-	-	-	21.5	8.7	6.8	2.4	4.4	1.2	0.8	2.6	3.6	6.3	58.1%	0.0	0.2	16.7%	3.6	6.1	59.4%	1.4	2.1	66.4%	58.4%	60.5%	1.3	0.6	3.0%	2.2%	22.0%	105.0	1.5	2.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	2.9%	0.332	15.9%	9.7%	8.6%	12.4%	17.3%	1.50	127.0	22.0	20.2	3.5	5.8	0.196	0.9	2.4
2016-17	24	LAL	PF	63	7	0.54	-0.62	1.16	-0.83	-1.41	0.58	1.42	-	1.0	-	-	-	22.9	7.1	5.9	1.9	4.0	1.5	0.9	2.4	3.0	5.7	52.6%	0.2	0.6	27.8%	2.8	5.1	55.4%	0.9	1.3	73.8%	54.0%	56.7%	1.3	0.6	2.8%	2.2%	19.6%	109.0	1.2	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	10.0%	0.222	13.4%	12.4%	9.7%	8.8%	14.0%	1.67	117.0	8.0	15.7	2.1	3.5	0.118	-0.6	0.6
2015-16	23	LAL	PF	63	22	-2.38	-1.99	-0.39	-0.04	-1.00	0.95	1.73	-	0.2	-	-	-	20.1	5.5	5.0	1.6	3.3	0.7	0.7	2.0	2.5	4.8	52.7%	0.0	0.2	10.0%	2.5	4.6	54.1%	0.5	0.7	68.1%	52.8%	54.4%	0.9	0.4	2.1%	1.4%	18.6%	109.0	0.2	0.9	-	-	-	-	-	-	3.3%	0.157	12.6%	11.3%	5.7%	8.3%	13.3%	1.00	111.0	2.0	13.4	1.3	2.2	0.083	-1.7	-1.5

Larry Nance Jr.

2016-17 percentile ranking

Larry Nance Jr. · 2016-17 percentiles

Overview

Impact

Profile

Shooting

Defense

Hustle

Advanced

Season stats

Contract

Similar players

Ask DRBL about Larry Nance Jr.

Contract

Statistics

Similar players

2016-17 percentile ranking

Larry Nance Jr. · 2016-17 percentiles

Overview

Impact

Profile

Shooting

Defense

Hustle

Advanced

Season stats