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How OKC played per 100 possessions with Branden Carlson on the floor and off it. 2025-26 regular season, 42 games played.
On/off swing
−16.6
95% range −29.9 to −3.3
On net
−3.8
Off net
+12.9
Luck-adjusted
−6.7
Opponent 3P% and FT% at league average
On the floor
9%
344 min, 1,438 poss
The team was 16.6 points per 100 possessions worse with Carlson on the floor. His teammates averaged +0.43 DRBL/100 with him on the floor, against +0.63 for the lineups that played while he sat. Opponents averaged +0.02 against him and +0.13 otherwise. Stronger teammates lift the on number and stronger opponents pull it down.
Offense
Points scored per 100
Defense
Points allowed per 100
Net
Offense minus defense
Net, luck-adjusted
Opponent shooting luck removed
Game 82, Apr 12 vs PHX: −16.6 to date, 1,438 poss on, 14,187 off
Each point is his swing from the team's first game through that one. Ticks along the bottom mark the 33 games he played. The line starts once he has 250 possessions on and off, since early values swing wildly.
| Factor | On | Off | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|
| eFG% | 55.9% | 56.3% | −0.4 |
| TOV% | 10.7% | 12.4% | −1.6 |
| ORB% | 23.9% | 26.6% | −2.6 |
| FT rate | 14.9% | 22.5% | −7.6 |
| Factor | On | Off | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|
| eFG% | 57.6% | 51.3% | +6.2 |
| TOV% | 14.9% | 16.7% | −1.9 |
| ORB% | 34.2% | 29.7% | +4.6 |
| FT rate | 13.8% | 18.7% | −4.9 |
Diff is in percentage points. For opponent offense, green means opponents did worse with him on the floor.
| Zone | Share on | Off | FG% on | Off |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 25% | 29% | 69% | 68% |
| Short mid | 22% | 22% | 43% | 46% |
| Long mid | 7% | 8% | 42% | 50% |
| Corner 3 | 10% | 10% | 37% | 38% |
| Above-break 3 | 36% | 31% | 38% | 36% |
| Zone | Share on | Off | FG% on | Off |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 28% | 25% | 65% | 60% |
| Short mid | 20% | 23% | 38% | 41% |
| Long mid | 7% | 8% | 36% | 38% |
| Corner 3 | 13% | 13% | 51% | 39% |
| Above-break 3 | 31% | 30% | 41% | 35% |
Every team shot while he was on the floor, not only his own. Rim is under 4 feet, short mid is 4 to 14 feet.
Team net rating in each combination of the two on or off the floor. Green is better, red is worse, and a dashed cell has under 100 possessions. The teammates he shared the most time with come first.
Teammates who play a bigger share of the floor when Carlson sits. Their play shapes his off number, so a strong backup shrinks his swing.
1% → 60%8,457 poss
0% → 33%4,705 poss
26% → 57%8,058 poss
30% → 51%7,195 poss
14% → 34%4,873 poss
Share of team possessions each one plays. The bar runs from 0 to 100%.
| Lineup | Poss | ORtg | DRtg | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Williams · Topić · Sandfort · Carlson · Barnhizer | 137 | 98.5 | 131.9 | −33.4 |
| Caruso · Gilgeous-Alexander · Joe · Mitchell · Carlson | 103 | 141.5 | 92.0 | +49.5 |
Ratings are points per 100 possessions, built from play-by-play with every possession tagged by the ten players on the floor. Filtered leaves out garbage time and possessions that start with 2 seconds or less on the clock. Garbage time is the closing run of a fourth quarter with two or fewer starters on the floor and a lead of at least 25 with more than 9 minutes left, 20 with 6 to 9 minutes left, or 10 inside 6 minutes. Clutch follows the NBA definition: the last five minutes of the fourth quarter or overtime with the score within five.
Teammate and opponent quality average each player's season DRBL/100 over the possessions they played. It shows whether someone's minutes came with stronger lineups or against them. Players without a DRBL rating are left out of the average. Playoff splits use the same regular-season ratings and have no league rank, since playoff teams play anywhere from 4 to 28 games.
Luck-adjusted sets opponents' 3-point and free-throw percentages to league average, since defenses shape those shots but have little say in whether they fall. The range covers about 95% of the outcomes you would get from possession-to-possession noise alone.
On/off follows the whole lineup. Teammates, opponents and the players who replace him all move it, so read it as context for a player's value. It does not measure that value by itself.