Aaron Nesmith

6'5"215 lb

Born 1999-10-16 (Age: 26)Pre-NBA: Vanderbilt

2020Rd 1Pk 14BOS

Per game average

Season	PPG	APG	RPG	TS%
2026-27	-	-	-	-
2025-26	13.8	1.9	4.2	55.4%
2024-25	12.0	1.2	4.0	65.3%
2023-24	12.2	1.5	3.8	63.1%
2022-23	10.1	1.3	3.8	56.6%

Upcoming games

Scores

2026-27 · IND

Joined the Pacers in a trade with the Celtics on Jul 9, 2022. How they got him

2025-26 percentile ranking

20-2125-26

Loading percentile ranking…

Overview Sentiment Game Logs Career Splits Shooting Advanced On/Off Game Highs

Season stats

Career trend + season grid. Click a season to open that year’s game log.

Season	Tm	G	PTS	AST	TRB	MP	ORB	DRB	TOV	PF
2025-26	IND	45	13.8	1.9	4.2	29.7	1.1	3.1	1.4	2.8
2024-25	IND	45	12.0	1.2	4.0	24.9	0.8	3.1	0.8	2.5
2023-24	IND	72	12.2	1.5	3.8	27.7	0.9	2.9	0.9	3.3
2022-23	IND	73	10.1	1.3	3.8	24.9	0.8	2.9	1.0	3.2
2021-22	BOS	52	3.8	0.4	1.7	11.0	0.3	1.4	0.6	1.3
2020-21	BOS	46	4.7	0.5	2.8	14.5	0.6	2.2	0.5	1.9

Showing regular season · 8 columns. Switch category or scroll sideways for more.

Loading career…

Loading statistics…

Contract

$51.4M over 3 seasons through 2028-29 · $51.4M guaranteed

IND payroll

Projected surplus

+$3.5M

80% range -$47.3M to +$73.9M

Estimated worth

$54.9M

Against $51.4M in salary

Among contracts

48th percentile

By total surplus, of 406 we can estimate

Worth more than his salary in 1 of 3 seasons. The edge shrinks as his salary rises.

Surplus

2026-27Paid $11.0M, worth about $16.9M (likely $1.3M to $37.3M)

Salary
Estimated worth
Likely range (80%)
Gain or loss

Season	Salary	Est. worth	80% range	Surplus	Notes
2026-27	$11.0M	$16.9M	$1.3M–$37.3M	+$5.9M	—
2027-28	$19.4M	$18.5M	$1.4M–$42.1M	-$915K	—
2028-29	$21.0M	$19.5M	$1.4M–$46.0M	-$1.4M	—

Worth is projected from DRBL wins over 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26 (18,549 possessions). Surplus is worth minus salary, after options.

Signed extension October 20, 2025. Signed 3-yr/$33M extension contract October 23, 2023.

How this works

Worth is what his projected DRBL wins would cost on the open market. We count wins above a minimum-salary player in the same minutes and price them at what teams paid per DRBL win from 2020-21 to 2025-26: 9.8% of the cap, about $16.2M in 2026-27.

Projections weight his last 3 seasons 3, 2 and 1, newest first, and pull toward what players at his salary usually produce, then adjust for age. Playing time comes from recent minutes, age and salary, since teams play the players they pay. A season lost to injury still pulls the playing time down.

Surplus is worth minus salary. A team can always bench a player, so worth never drops below the minimum salary. A player option leaves the team only the downside, because he walks when he could earn more. A team option or a non-guaranteed year leaves only the upside.

To test it, we refit the model three times, each with only the seasons through 2022-23, 2023-24 or 2024-25, valued what players were actually paid afterward, and compared with what they did. The typical miss the next season was 0.91 wins, against 1.09 for assuming a player repeats his last season. Three seasons out it was 1.18 wins, against 1.54. 12% of players beat the top of the range. Fewer than 2% fell below the bottom, since worth can't drop under the minimum salary.

Cap figures after 2026-27 assume 5.8% growth a year, the recent average. The percentile compares total surplus across the 406 current contracts we can estimate.

Similar players

Closest 2025-26 profiles, historical lookalikes across eras, and nearest comps by metric. This is not a new rating. Switch chips to change the lens.

Closest profiles this season

Jett Howard2025-26
7 gapCompare
Why USG -20 · TRB% -8 · DRBL D -6
Noah Clowney2025-26
7 gapCompare
Why TRB% +15 · DRBL D +13 · WAR1 +12
Ace Bailey2025-26
10 gapCompare
Why DRBL O -20 · WAR1 -17 · TS -13
Peyton Watson2025-26
10 gapCompare
Why TS +31 · TRB% +17 · DRBL D +9

Closest profiles historically

Chris Carr1996-97
4 gapCompare
Why USG -7 · TRB% +5 · AST% +2
Justin Edwards2024-25
6 gapCompare
Why USG -21 · TS +4 · DRBL O +4
Brandon Miller2023-24
7 gapCompare
Why USG +20 · AST% +11 · DRBL D +10

Profile distance is the average percentile gap across impact, true shooting, usage, assist rate, rebound rate, and DRBL O/D when present. Lower gap is closer. Other chips are nearest on that one stat. Open full player compare

Loading similar players…

Ask DRBL about Aaron Nesmith

Prefills supported peak, rank, season-board, and compare queries only.

Season	Age	Tm	Pos	G	GS	Impact												Profile								Shooting														Defense								Hustle						Advanced
Season	Age	Tm	Pos	G	GS	DARKO	DARKO-O	DARKO-D	RAPTOR	O-RAPTOR	D-RAPTOR	WAR	WAR1	VORP	DRBL/100	DRBL-O	DRBL-D	MP	PTS	TRB	ORB	DRB	AST	TOV	PF	FG	FGA	FG%	3P	3PA	3P%	2P	2PA	2P%	FT	FTA	FT%	eFG%	TS%	STL	BLK	STL%	BLK%	DRB%	DRtg	DBPM	DWS	Defl	Contest	ScrAst	Chrg	Loose	BoxOut	3PAr	FTr	USG%	TOV%	AST%	ORB%	TRB%	AST/TO	ORtg	NET	PER	OWS	WS	WS/48	OBPM	BPM
2025-26	26	IND	SF	45	42	1.27	1.04	0.23	-	-	-	-	-0.7	-0.5	-0.4	0.9	-1.8	29.7	13.8	4.2	1.1	3.1	1.9	1.4	2.8	4.7	11.4	41.4%	2.3	6.2	37.9%	2.4	5.2	45.5%	2.0	2.5	82.9%	51.7%	55.4%	0.6	0.5	0.9%	1.5%	11.6%	121.0	-1.6	0.6	1.1	5.6	0.6	0.1	0.6	0.2	54.1%	0.217	19.8%	10.1%	9.4%	3.8%	7.6%	1.36	107.0	-14.0	10.8	0.1	0.7	0.026	-1.7	-3.4
2024-25	25	IND	SF	45	37	-0.02	0.14	-0.16	-	-	-	-	2.4	0.4	1.5	4.2	-0.6	24.9	12.0	4.0	0.8	3.1	1.2	0.8	2.5	4.3	8.4	50.7%	1.9	4.3	43.1%	2.4	4.1	58.7%	1.6	1.8	91.3%	61.7%	65.3%	0.8	0.4	1.5%	1.4%	13.9%	116.0	-0.5	1.0	1.3	5.1	0.3	0.2	0.5	0.4	51.5%	0.211	17.4%	8.2%	6.6%	3.7%	8.8%	1.50	124.0	8.0	14.6	1.9	2.9	0.126	-	-0.5
2023-24	24	IND	SF	72	47	-1.11	-0.61	-0.51	-	-	-	-	2.2	0.8	0.8	3.0	-1.1	27.7	12.2	3.8	0.9	2.9	1.5	0.9	3.3	4.4	8.8	49.6%	1.9	4.6	41.9%	2.5	4.2	58.1%	1.5	1.9	78.1%	60.6%	63.1%	0.9	0.7	1.5%	2.0%	12.0%	119.0	-0.2	1.3	1.6	6.5	0.2	0.1	0.7	0.4	52.6%	0.216	16.0%	8.4%	6.6%	3.6%	7.8%	1.67	123.0	4.0	12.8	2.8	4.1	0.098	-0.3	-0.5
2022-23	23	IND	SF	73	60	-1.38	-1.18	-0.19	-	-	-	-	-0.5	-0.4	-0.2	1.2	-1.7	24.9	10.1	3.8	0.8	2.9	1.3	1.0	3.2	3.5	8.1	42.7%	1.6	4.3	36.6%	1.9	3.8	49.6%	1.6	1.9	83.8%	52.5%	56.6%	0.8	0.5	1.4%	1.6%	13.1%	119.0	-0.7	1.1	1.5	5.4	0.4	0.2	0.5	0.6	53.2%	0.241	16.8%	10.3%	7.4%	3.8%	8.5%	1.30	111.0	-8.0	10.5	0.9	2.0	0.052	-2.3	-3.0
2021-22	22	BOS	SF	52	3	-2.03	-1.32	-0.71	-1.53	-2.38	0.85	0.40	-0.5	-0.3	-0.5	-2.7	1.4	11.0	3.8	1.7	0.3	1.4	0.4	0.6	1.3	1.4	3.5	39.6%	0.6	2.2	27.0%	0.8	1.3	61.2%	0.4	0.5	80.8%	48.1%	50.7%	0.4	0.1	1.7%	0.8%	13.6%	108.0	0.7	0.9	0.6	2.9	0.1	0.1	0.3	0.5	63.2%	0.143	17.2%	13.8%	5.4%	2.9%	8.4%	0.67	95.0	-13.0	7.3	-0.4	0.4	0.038	-4.9	-4.3
2020-21	21	BOS	SF	46	1	-2.38	-1.88	-0.50	-2.80	-1.90	-0.90	-0.01	-0.1	-0.2	-0.1	0.2	-0.4	14.5	4.7	2.8	0.6	2.2	0.5	0.5	1.9	1.7	3.9	43.8%	0.9	2.3	37.0%	0.8	1.6	54.3%	0.5	0.6	78.6%	55.1%	57.3%	0.3	0.2	1.1%	1.3%	16.6%	114.0	-0.4	0.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	60.7%	0.157	13.7%	10.8%	4.6%	4.6%	10.6%	1.00	113.0	-1.0	9.4	0.5	1.1	0.076	-2.8	-3.2

Aaron Nesmith

2025-26 percentile ranking

Aaron Nesmith · 2025-26 percentiles

Overview

Impact

Profile

Shooting

Defense

Hustle

Advanced

Season stats

Contract

Similar players

Ask DRBL about Aaron Nesmith

Contract

Statistics

Season stats

2025-26 percentile ranking

Aaron Nesmith · 2025-26 percentiles

Overview

Impact

Profile

Shooting

Defense

Hustle

Advanced

Similar players