Duncan Robinson

6'7"215 lb

Born 1994-04-22 (Age: 31)Pre-NBA: Michigan

Undrafted

Per game average

Season	PPG	APG	RPG	TS%
2026-27	-	-	-	-
2025-26	12.2	2.1	2.7	62.9%
2024-25	11.0	2.4	2.3	59.5%
2023-24	12.9	2.8	2.5	61.2%
2022-23	6.4	1.1	1.6	53.4%

Upcoming games

Scores

2026-27 · DET

Joined the Pistons in a trade with the Heat on Jul 7, 2025. How they got him

2025-26 percentile ranking

18-1925-26

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Overview Sentiment Game Logs Career Splits Shooting Advanced On/Off Game Highs

Season stats

Career trend + season grid. Click a season to open that year’s game log.

Season	Tm	G	PTS	AST	TRB	MP	ORB	DRB	TOV	PF
2025-26	DET	77	12.2	2.1	2.7	27.4	0.4	2.3	0.7	2.2
2024-25	MIA	74	11.0	2.4	2.3	24.1	0.2	2.0	1.2	1.8
2023-24	MIA	68	12.9	2.8	2.5	28.0	0.2	2.3	1.4	2.4
2022-23	MIA	42	6.4	1.1	1.6	16.5	0.2	1.5	0.7	1.8
2021-22	MIA	79	10.9	1.6	2.6	25.9	0.3	2.3	0.8	2.5
2020-21	MIA	72	13.1	1.8	3.5	31.4	0.1	3.4	1.1	2.5
2019-20	MIA	73	13.5	1.4	3.2	29.7	0.1	3.0	1.0	2.6
2018-19	MIA	15	3.3	0.3	1.3	10.7	0.1	1.1	0.3	0.7

Showing regular season · 8 columns. Switch category or scroll sideways for more.

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Contract

$31.1M over 2 seasons through 2027-28

Surplus rankings DET payroll

Projected surplus

+$6.0M

80% range $0.0M to +$23.4M

Estimated worth

$22.5M

Against $31.1M in salary

Among contracts

67th percentile

By total surplus, of 406 we can estimate

Worth more than his salary in every season of the deal.

Surplus

2026-27Paid $16.0M, worth about $12.8M (likely $1.3M to $29.5M)Not guaranteedSurplus here isn't simply worth minus salary, because the option or guarantee terms decide who keeps the upside.

Salary
Estimated worth
Likely range (80%)
Gain or loss
Grey where option terms flip the surplus

Season	Salary	Est. worth	80% range	Surplus	Notes
2026-27Not guaranteed	$16.0M	$12.8M	$1.3M–$29.5M	+$3.6M	Not guaranteed
2027-28Not guaranteed	$15.2M	$9.7M	$1.4M–$25.0M	+$2.5M	Not guaranteed

Worth is projected from his DRBL seasons 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26 (23,514 possessions). Surplus is worth minus salary, after options.

2027-28 is not guaranteed. 2026-27 is partially guaranteed. Signed 3-yr/$48M contract July 7, 2025 with MIA and immediately traded to DET.

How this works

Worth is what his projected wins would cost on the open market. We count wins above a minimum-salary player in the same minutes and price them at what teams paid per WAR1 win from 2020-21 to 2025-26: 5.6% of the cap, about $9.2M in 2026-27.

Projections weight his last 3 seasons 3, 2 and 1, newest first, using each season's DRBL/100 turned into wins. They pull toward what players at his salary usually produce, then adjust for age. Playing time comes from recent minutes, age and salary, since teams play the players they pay. A season lost to injury still pulls the playing time down.

Surplus is worth minus salary. A team can always bench a player, so worth never drops below the minimum salary. A player option leaves the team only the downside, because he walks when he could earn more. A team option or a non-guaranteed year leaves only the upside.

To test it, we refit the model three times, each with only the seasons through 2022-23, 2023-24 or 2024-25, valued what players were actually paid afterward, and compared with what they did. The typical miss the next season was 1.31 wins, against 1.45 for assuming a player repeats his last season. Three seasons out it was 1.92 wins, against 2.40. 12% of players beat the top of the range. Fewer than 3% fell below the bottom, since worth can't drop under the minimum salary.

Cap figures after 2026-27 assume 5.8% growth a year, the recent average. The percentile compares total surplus across the 406 current contracts we can estimate.

Salary played off · 2026-27

The 2026-27 lines start after opening night, Oct 20. Every player begins at 0 and climbs as his play covers his salary. See how 2025-26 finished

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Profile distance is the average percentile gap across impact, true shooting, usage, assist rate, rebound rate, and DRBL O/D when present. Lower gap is closer. Other chips are nearest on that one stat. Open full player compare

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Ask DRBL about Duncan Robinson

Prefills supported peak, rank, season-board, and compare queries only.

Season	Age	Tm	Pos	G	GS	Impact												Profile								Shooting														Defense								Hustle						Advanced
Season	Age	Tm	Pos	G	GS	DARKO	DARKO-O	DARKO-D	RAPTOR	O-RAPTOR	D-RAPTOR	WAR	WAR1	VORP	DRBL/100	DRBL-O	DRBL-D	MP	PTS	TRB	ORB	DRB	AST	TOV	PF	FG	FGA	FG%	3P	3PA	3P%	2P	2PA	2P%	FT	FTA	FT%	eFG%	TS%	STL	BLK	STL%	BLK%	DRB%	DRtg	DBPM	DWS	Defl	Contest	ScrAst	Chrg	Loose	BoxOut	3PAr	FTr	USG%	TOV%	AST%	ORB%	TRB%	AST/TO	ORtg	NET	PER	OWS	WS	WS/48	OBPM	BPM
2025-26	31	DET	SG	77	77	-1.52	-0.57	-0.95	-	-	-	-	0.9	1.5	0.4	3.0	-1.5	27.4	12.2	2.7	0.4	2.3	2.1	0.7	2.2	4.1	9.1	45.6%	2.9	7.0	41.0%	1.2	2.1	60.5%	1.1	1.4	75.5%	61.3%	62.9%	0.6	0.3	1.0%	1.0%	9.2%	115.0	-0.1	2.3	1.8	3.3	0.6	0.1	0.3	0.4	76.8%	0.158	15.8%	6.7%	10.1%	1.6%	5.4%	3.00	129.0	14.0	12.4	3.8	6.1	0.139	0.8	0.8
2024-25	30	MIA	SF	74	37	-0.78	-0.36	-0.42	-	-	-	-	-0.8	0.1	-0.4	1.9	-0.8	24.1	11.0	2.3	0.2	2.0	2.4	1.2	1.8	3.9	9.0	43.7%	2.6	6.5	39.3%	1.3	2.5	55.6%	0.6	0.7	88.7%	58.1%	59.5%	0.5	0.1	1.1%	0.3%	9.1%	117.0	-1.1	1.4	1.4	2.7	0.7	0.1	0.3	0.4	72.9%	0.080	19.2%	11.1%	14.7%	1.1%	5.2%	2.00	112.0	-5.0	11.8	1.3	2.7	0.071	-0.7	-1.7
2023-24	29	MIA	SF	68	36	-0.08	0.62	-0.71	-	-	-	-	-0.5	0.6	-0.2	1.7	-1.0	28.0	12.9	2.5	0.2	2.3	2.8	1.4	2.4	4.5	9.9	45.0%	2.8	7.0	39.5%	1.7	2.9	57.9%	1.2	1.3	88.9%	58.9%	61.2%	0.7	0.2	1.2%	0.8%	9.5%	115.0	-0.4	2.0	1.4	3.3	0.5	0.0	0.4	0.4	70.1%	0.133	19.0%	11.7%	15.1%	0.9%	5.1%	2.00	114.0	-1.0	12.2	1.6	3.6	0.091	-0.5	-0.9
2022-23	28	MIA	SF	42	1	-0.04	0.41	-0.45	-	-	-	-	-1.4	-0.5	-1.8	0.4	-1.4	16.5	6.4	1.6	0.2	1.5	1.1	0.7	1.8	2.1	5.6	37.1%	1.5	4.6	32.8%	0.6	1.0	55.6%	0.7	0.8	90.6%	50.4%	53.4%	0.3	0.0	1.0%	-	10.7%	117.0	-1.5	0.6	0.6	2.0	0.5	0.1	0.0	0.3	81.0%	0.135	17.9%	10.0%	9.7%	1.3%	5.9%	1.57	105.0	-12.0	7.8	-0.1	0.5	0.035	-3.5	-5.0
2021-22	27	MIA	SG	79	68	0.79	0.84	-0.05	-0.49	0.60	-1.09	2.53	-0.4	0.7	-0.2	1.6	-0.8	25.9	10.9	2.6	0.3	2.3	1.6	0.8	2.5	3.7	9.2	39.9%	2.9	7.9	37.2%	0.8	1.3	56.9%	0.6	0.8	83.6%	55.9%	57.3%	0.5	0.2	1.0%	0.7%	9.8%	112.0	-0.3	2.0	0.8	5.0	0.5	0.1	0.5	0.6	86.0%	0.084	17.7%	7.4%	9.3%	1.4%	5.6%	2.00	113.0	1.0	10.6	1.9	3.9	0.092	-0.3	-0.6
2020-21	26	MIA	SF	72	72	0.95	1.21	-0.26	0.17	0.41	-0.24	3.51	0.7	0.6	0.3	2.2	-0.7	31.4	13.1	3.5	0.1	3.4	1.8	1.1	2.5	4.4	10.0	43.9%	3.5	8.5	40.8%	0.9	1.5	62.5%	0.9	1.0	82.7%	61.4%	62.8%	0.6	0.3	0.9%	0.9%	12.1%	114.0	-0.8	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	85.5%	0.105	16.6%	9.7%	8.3%	0.4%	6.3%	1.64	113.0	-1.0	11.0	1.9	3.7	0.079	-0.2	-1.0
2019-20	25	MIA	SG	73	68	-1.57	-1.07	-0.49	2.52	3.31	-0.79	7.46	-	1.3	-	-	-	29.7	13.5	3.2	0.1	3.0	1.4	1.0	2.6	4.4	9.4	47.0%	3.7	8.3	44.6%	0.7	1.1	65.4%	0.9	1.0	93.1%	66.7%	68.4%	0.5	0.3	0.8%	0.9%	11.0%	113.0	-1.0	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	88.2%	0.105	16.0%	8.9%	7.1%	0.5%	6.0%	1.40	122.0	9.0	13.1	3.7	5.3	0.118	1.5	0.5
2018-19	24	MIA	SF	15	1	-1.79	-1.70	-0.09	-	-	-	-	-	-0.1	-	-	-	10.7	3.3	1.3	0.1	1.1	0.3	0.3	0.7	1.2	3.1	39.1%	0.7	2.3	28.6%	0.5	0.8	72.7%	0.3	0.4	66.7%	50.0%	51.4%	0.3	0.0	1.5%	-	11.2%	111.0	0.1	0.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	76.1%	0.130	14.0%	7.6%	4.4%	1.3%	6.3%	1.00	102.0	-9.0	7.6	-	0.2	0.051	-3.6	-3.5

Duncan Robinson

2025-26 percentile ranking

Duncan Robinson · 2025-26 percentiles

Overview

Impact

Profile

Shooting

Defense

Hustle

Advanced

Season stats

Contract

Salary played off · 2026-27

Similar players

Ask DRBL about Duncan Robinson

Contract

Salary played off · 2026-27

Statistics

Season stats

2025-26 percentile ranking

Duncan Robinson · 2025-26 percentiles

Overview

Impact

Profile

Shooting

Defense

Hustle

Advanced

Similar players